您当前的位置:牛牛财经 > 外汇

哪些因素可能动摇欧佩克减产承诺?

2019-03-15     牛牛财经   来源:环球外汇网
文章摘要:原油是2019年涨幅最大的大宗商品之一,价格已上涨超过20%,证明主要产油国年初开始的减产行动取得了成功。但这一减产行动最终可能受到美国页岩油产量上升和其他产油国产量上升的冲击,并考验石油输出国组织(欧佩克)部分成员国和俄罗斯等非成员国盟友的决心….

yuanyoushi2019年nianzhangfuzuidadedazongshangpinzhiyi,价jiageyishangzhangchaoguo20%,证zhengmingzhuyaochanyouguonianchukaishidejianchanxingdongqudeliaochenggong

danzheyijianchanxingdongzuizhongkenengshoudaomeiguoyeyanyouchanliangshangshengheqitachanyouguochanliangshangshengdechongji,并bingkaoyanshiyoushuchuguozuzhi(欧佩克)部bufenchengyuanguoheeluosidengfeichengyuanguomengyoudejuexin

Informa Economics能nengyuanshichangfenxishiMarshall Steeves称cheng,欧oupeikejianchanxieyidegaolvxinglvlingrenyinxiangshenke,显xianranshi原油期货jiagepanshengdezhongyaodongli。但dantabiaoshi,随suizhuoshijiandetuiyi,除chuliaoshatedengbosiwanchanyouguozhiwai,减jianchanxieyidelvxinglvbuyidinghuijixubaochigaowei

欧佩克成员国ciqiantongyibachanliangjiaoqunian10月yuefenshuipingxiaojian80万wantong/日ri,俄eluosiheqitayixiefeioupeikechanyouguozejianchan40万wantong/日ri,双shuangfanghejixiaojian120万wantong/日richanliang。这zheyijihuachixuliugeyue,到daojinnian6月yuejieshu

shatenengyuandachenfalihe(Khalid al-Falih)最zuijingaosulutou(Reuters),在zai6月yuefenoupeikejiqimengyoujuxinghuiyiqiandiaozhengjianchanxieyikenengweishiguozao。这zhexiechanyouguoxiayicizhengshihuiyijiangzai4月yue17-18日rijuxing。监jiancejianchanzunshouqingkuangdeJoint Ministerial Monitoring将jiangzai3月yue18日rijixiazhouyijuxinghuiyi

biaopuquanqiupushi(S&P Global Platts)调diaochaxianshi,受shoupeieyueshude11个geoupeikechengyuanguo2月yuefenshixianliaojianchanchengnuode79%,欧oupeikedangyuechanliangwei3,080万wantong/日ri。这zheyibiligaoyuyigeyueqiande76%。

oupeikeduijianchanxieyidelvxingqingkuangchurenyiliao,毕bijingoupeikeyedanxinshichangfenebeimeiguodengqitachanyouguoqiangzou美国原油chanliangyidadaochuangjilushuiping,最zuijinjizhourichanliangdugaoyu1,200万wantong,国guojinengyuanshu(IEA)预yuji,未weilaiwunianmeiguojiangyinlingquanqiushiyouchanliangzengchang

Steeves说shuo,IEA的deyucebiaoming,当dangqianfeichangguiyeyanyouchanlianghemo西xigewanjinhaishiyouchanliangdezengchangqushijianghuiyanxu,这zheshiyixishengoupeikejilianmengchanyouguochanliangweidaijiade。如ruguooupeikejiqimengyouxiwangyoujiabaochigaowei,就jiuxuyaoxianzhigongying,这zheyiweizhuotamendeshichangfenejiangjixubeimeiguodengchanyouguocanshi

jinguanruci,并bingfeimeigerenduxiangxinyeyanyouchanliangjiangkuaisuzengchang。Banyan Hill Publishing资zishenfenxishiMatt Badiali称cheng:“虽suiranwoqueshiyujimeiguoshiyouchanliangjiangshangsheng,但danyeyanyoudekaicaichengbenhengao。”“油youtianyunyingshangzaiyoujiachuyu50-55美元/桶tongshisuirannenggoushengcun,但danlirunbugao,需xuyaoyikaodaikuanyunying。因yincisuizhuolilvshangsheng,美meiguochanchuzengsukenengfanghuan。”

Steeves称cheng,欧oupeikelingxiandejianchantuidongyoujiazougao,而ermeiguoheqitadiquzengchanyizhiyoujiashangyang,这zhesuiranrangyoujiazanshidadaopingheng,但danzuizhongjiangbeizhengmingshibuwendingdepingheng

tayujimeiguojizhun西xidezhouzhongzhiyoujiageweilai30-60天tianjiangzai55-60美meiyuanqujianbodong,更gengkuanfandequjianwei48-68美meiyuan/桶tong。同tongqi布伦特原油jiagejiangzai65-70美meiyuan/桶tongshuipingjiaotou,更gengkuanfandequjianwei50-70美meiyuan/桶tong

Steeves称cheng:“有youliangzhongqingkuangkenengdapojiangju,一yishiguojishichangxunsuzaipinghengtuidongyoujiazougao,二ershiquanqiujingjizengchangfanghuantuoleiyoujiazoudi。”

收集整理:牛牛财经网
本文地址:https://fx.nncj.com/a/6565
共有条评论发表评论
验证码:
推荐阅读