您当前的位置:牛牛财经 > 外汇

【图解】全球经济最糟糕的时期可能已经过去了

2019-03-15     牛牛财经   来源:环球外汇网
文章摘要:世界经济经历了自金融危机以来最动荡的一段时期,但有理由预期目前的经济放缓将是短暂的。彭博经济(Bloomberg Economics)、德意志银行(Deutsche Bank AG)和摩根士丹利(Morgan Stanley)等机构的经济学家认为,经济下滑将在本季度或下一季度触底,然后在今年….

shijiejingjijingliliaozijinrongweijiyilaizuidongdangdeyiduanshiqi,但danyouliyouyuqimuqiandejingjifanghuanjiangshiduanzande。彭pengbojingji(Bloomberg Economics)、德deyizhiyinxing(Deutsche Bank AG)和he摩根士丹利(Morgan Stanley)等dengjigoudejingjixuejiarenwei,经jingjixiahuajiangzaibenjiduhuoxiayijiduchudi,然ranhouzaijinnianwanxieshihoujiasu

pengbojingjishouxijingjixuejiatangmu?奥aolike(Tom Orlik)表biaoshi,“将jiang美联储zantingjiaxi、贸maoyimocahuanhehezhongguotuichucijicuoshizhexieshijianfangzaiyiqi,我womenyuqidiyijiduchudihou,经jingjijiangwenhefusu。”

geguoyangxingchushou

zaimeilianchudedailingxia,世shijieshangxuduozhongyangyinxingyaometingzhishoujinhuobizhengce,要yaomecaiquxindecijicuoshi,以yihuanjietouzizheduijingjifanghuandedanyou美联储主席鲍威尔biaoshi,他tahetongshimenjiangnaixindengdai,而erouzhouyangxingxingchang德拉基yijingpaichuliaoouyinjinnianjiaxideyuqi,并bingweiyinxingtigongliaoyipixindedixidaikuan

zaiqitadifang,澳aodaliya、加jianadaheyingguodengyangxingcaiquliaoguanwangtaidu。中zhongguozaibenyuedelianghuishangbiaoshiyuanyifangkuanhuobihecaizhengzhengceyizhichijingjikuozhang

kuansonghuobi

zaiqunianniandishoujinhuobizhengcehou,金jinrongzhuangkuangyousuofangsong,这zhezaiyidingchengdushangcu使shimeilianchuzhongxinkaolvjingjiqianjing。彭pengbomeiguojinrongzhuangkuangzhishuzaiqunian12月yuechujiliangnianbandidianhou,现xianyifandan。该gaizhishuhengliangdeshihuobi、债zhaiquanhe股票市场dezongtijinrongyalishuiping

gushijinnianyechuxianliaofandan,反fanyingchutouzizhedekanfagengweijiji。标biaozhunpuer500指zhishujiaoqunian12月yuededidianshangzhangjin20%,上shangzhengzonghezhishushangzhangyue22%。

美元2018年nianzouqiangdefanghuanyehuanjieliaoxinxingshichangdeyali,减jianqingliaozhengcezhidingzhefangfanzibenwaitaodeyali。中zhongguoheriben2月yuefendexindaishujujiaoshangniantongqiqiangjinzengchang

经济数据gaishan

IHS Markit的dequanqiuzengchangzhibiaozai2月yuefencong28个geyueyilaidedidianyousuoshangsheng,令lingrenguwudeshi,需xuqiuzhibiaoyousuogaishan。2月yuefen,该gaigongsiduiquanqiufuwudehengliangyechuxiansangeyuelaideshoucihuisheng。花huaqijituande欧元quyiwaizhishuyifandanzhijin5个geyuelaidezuigaoshuiping。欧ouyuanquyizhishiquanqiujingjidebaoruohuanjiezhiyi

zaizhongguo,衡hengliangzhizaoyecaigoujinglirenzhishu(PMI)新xindingdandeyixiangzhibiaoshangyueyousuogaishan,德deguoyededaolaiyinheshuiweishangshengdehaoxiaoxi。去quniandexiajiangraoluanliaobochuanyunshu,打dajiliaoxingye,并bingzengjialiaotuidongjingjijiejinshuai退tuidezanshixingyinsu

maoyihuanjing

touzizheyizhirezhongyujiangcu使shiqiyehexiaofeizhesuojiankaizhideyuanyinguijiuyuzhengzhifenqi,尤youqishiquanqiumaoyizhan。20个geguojiadeyixiangbukeyucexingzhibiaozainianchudadaochuangjilushuiping

danmeiguozongtongtangnade・特telangpu3月yue1日rijuedingbuzaiduizhongguozhengshouxinyilunguanshui,有youjixiangbiaoming,他tahezhongguoguojiazhuxixijinpingkenenghenkuaijiunengdachengmaoyixieyi。国guojijinrongxiehui(IIF)设shejideyigeshishigenzongmeiguomaoyidemoxingxianshi,从congjinniannianchukaishichuxianliaoqiwenjixiang

guojijinrongxiehuishouxijingjixuejialuobin`布bulukesi(Robin Brooks)表biaoshi,“全quanqiumaoyidanyoubeikuadaliao,对duiquanqiuzengchangkenengdafufanghuandedanyouyebeikuadaliao。”

laodongzengchang

jinguan2月yuefenmeiguojiuyebaogaolingrenshiwang,但danquanqiulaodonglishichangrengzaijixushoujin,这zheweixiaofeizhejixuxiaofeitigongliaoliyou

mogendatongguji,发fadaguojiadeshiyelvmuqianchuyu40年nianlaizuidide5%,而erqiehuanjiangjinyibuxiajiang。这zhe使shidegaixingyuce,今jinniandisijidugongzijiangzengchang3.2%,为wei10年niankuozhangyilaidezuikuaizengsu,几jihubi2017年niantongqikuaiyigebaifendian

xinguandian

guoji货币基金zuzhi(IMF)仍rengyuji,去qunianquanqiujingjijiangzengchang3.7%,2019年nianjiangzengchang3.5%,对duiyuxianjieduandejingjikuozhanglaishuo,这zheshiyigexiangdangbucuodezengsu

deyizhiyinxingcelueshiailun・拉lasijin(Alan Ruskin)也yerenwei,有youliyoubixinwenbiaotisuoxianshidegengjialeguan。例liru,中zhongguojingjiguimoshi2000年niande5倍bei,这zheyiweizhuoxianzai6%的dezengchanglvxiangdangyudangshi30%的dezengchanglv

“在zaijinxinggengchangqibijiaoshi,绝jueduishuipinghebianhuabibaifenbibianhuatigongdeyouxianshijiaogengweizhongyao。”他tazaibenzhougeikehudeyifenbaogaozhongxiedao

收集整理:牛牛财经网
本文地址:https://fx.nncj.com/a/6569
共有条评论发表评论
验证码:
推荐阅读